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Ecological Validity

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Ecological validity is the claim that a causal effect observed in one institutional or environmental context will hold in another. It is the dimension of external validity that asks not about the individuals but about the system that contains them: the incentive structures, the trust levels, the resource distributions, the feedback loops. An intervention that works in a well-funded university hospital may fail in an under-resourced rural clinic not because the biology changed, but because the causal mechanism depended on a support structure that no longer exists.

Ecological validity is the most politically consequential dimension of external validity because it is the one that policy most often ignores. Policymakers import interventions from high-capacity contexts into low-capacity contexts, assume the mechanism will survive the transplant, and blame implementation failure when it does not. But the failure is not of implementation — it is of ecological imagination.